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■ Direction You have 20 minutes to plan and write your response. You response will be judge on the basis of The quality of writing and on how well your response presents the points in the lecture and the relationship to the reading passage. Typically, an effective response will be 150 to 225 words. ■ Question Summarize the points made in the lecture you just heard, explaining how they cast doubt on the points made in the reading
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▶ Topic :
6. Arctic deer live on islands in Canada's arctic regions. They search for food by moving over ice from island to island during the course of the year. Their habitat is limited to areas warm enough to sustain the plants on which they feed and cold enough, at least some of the year, for the ice to cover the sea separating the islands, allowing the deer to travel over it. Unfortunately, according to reports from local hunters, the deer populations are declining. Since these reports coincide with recent global warming trends that have caused the sea ice to melt, we can conclude that the purported decline in deer populations is the result of the deer's being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea. |
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Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
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▶ Your Answer :
The author claims that the decline of Arctic deer population is caused by global warming. To support this claim, the author states the local hunters' report that the deer population has indeed decreased, followed by the fact that the report coincides with the recent global warming trend. The author's argument, however, is based on several unsubstantiated assumptions. Lacking some critical evidence, the author's argument is unpersuasive as it stands.
First of all, the author assumes that the local hunters' report is completely accurate. However, this is not necessarily true. Perhaps the hunters are allowed to hunt only in limited areas. If this is true, the hunters' report by itself cannot be the evidence of changes in deer population. To strengthen the claim that the deer population has indeed decreased, the author needs to provide some credible source of information, such as an extensive examination of deer population over a long time conducted by professionals.
Furthermore, the author is assuming that deer habitat is always the same. The author is overlooking the possibility that the Arctic deer have moved their habitat. For example, it is entirely possible that global warming has created an area where plants can grow all year round. If this is the case, then deer could have moved to this area and settled down there. The purported decline of deer population could have been just a change in deer habitat, not an actual decrease in their number.
In order to substantitate the argument that the decrease in deer population is caused by global warming,
the author needs to provide the evidence that global warming is indeed the only significant change that has recently occurred in the Arctic. Without such evidence, the causal relationship between global warming and decreased deer population cannot be established. For instance, there could have been natural disasters or other climate changes that affected the deer population. Without the evidence that there was no other change in the environment, the author's claim does not stand as persuasive.
As demonstrated above, the author's argument is logically flawed. The author's claim is based on unsubstantiated assumptions such as the accuracy of local hunters' report and no change in deer habitat. Also, the author does not take into consideration other changes in the environment that are just as likely to have caused the decline in deer population. | |
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